Here are the highlights of this month’s investing article:

• Over the last six weeks, the market has seen a major rally, from 1,049 on the S&P to 1,146 as of Friday, October 15, 2010.  Truth is, most money managers missed it.

• The economy hasn’t changed much, but Fed policy has, and Washington policy will probably change with elections in early November.  The Fed has returned to quantitative easing and is even encouraging inflation.  A looser Fed and gridlock in Washington sets us up for a bullish environment into the end of the year.

• So what next.  We’re in the midst of earnings season, so I think it pays to see where the numbers are.  Likely, there will be buying opportunities after the releases are out.

Here’s the link:

http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/10/investing-article-october-2010-quantitative-easing-it-works-until-it-doesnt/

Here are the highlights of this month’s investing article:

• For most of the summer, the market has been stuck in a trading range between about 1040 and 1125 on the S&P.  It’s unlikely that we will break above this range; a sideways market is most likely, with a break below 1040 a close second.

• In late September to October, earnings could be weak, but it’s the outlook that will matter.  Pressure on Democrats to change course could be positive for markets as the November election approaches, and year-end spending could also be give markets a lift.  Because of these factors, I’m inclined to be bullish from late October through year-end.

• For me, the strategy remains the same.  If you’re conservative, stay in cash, and if you can take some more risk, go for stable, dividend-paying stocks.  Also, there are stocks such as Apple to play into year-end.  Plus, many stocks do fall to cheap levels, especially when the S&P is near 1040 or below.  So hide if you wish, but don’t completely hibernate.

Here’s the link:

http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/09/investing-article-september-2010-hide-but-dont-hibernate-part-i/

Here are the highlights of this month’s investing article:

• In July, Europe and China calmed (though not resolved), but investors are now worried about US growth.

• There’s not really foreseeable positive catalysts in the market until the November elections.  If the Democrats win, markets will drop.  If Republicans make headway, the market will rise.

• For investors, it’s perfectly fine to stay on the sidelines in cash.  But the next 4-6 months could also be a great buying opportunity, so best to frosty.

Here are the links:

http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/08/investing-article-august-2010-time-to-vote-republican-part-i/

http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/08/investing-article-august-2010-%E2%80%93-time-to-vote-republican-part-ii/

http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/08/investing-article-august-2010-%E2%80%93-time-to-vote-republican-part-iii/

Investing: Markets Break Down

July 1, 2010

Here are the highlights of this month’s investing article:

• In June, the markets broke down below critical levels.  Charts of major indicators – the S&P, the Euro/Yen and the Shanghai Composite, as well as charts of markets leaders Apple, FCX and GS, show breakdowns.

• Technicals are bearish and fundamentals are unclear.  A review of macro issues shows unresolved problems around the world.

• The investment game plan is simple: until we see solutions to the macro problems enacted, be in cash, sell the rallies.  Still, it makes sense to create a shopping list, because we could face another historic buying opportunity in the next six months.

The article will soon be posted on the site www.asiancemagazine.com, but also here on my site as three separate posts:

Part I: http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/07/investing-article-july-2010-markets-break-down-part-iii/

Part II: http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/07/investing-article-july-2010-markets-break-down-part-ii/

Part III: http://www.minglo.com/investing/2010/07/investing-article-july-2010-markets-break-down-part-i/